Elmer
sits well right of most names
- Score
- +0.34
- More liberal than
- 4% of names
- Measured from
- 3,193 contributors
That ranking compares Elmer with other names. The typical name scores −0.22, because people who donate to campaigns lean left as a group, so a name can sit left of zero and still be middle of the pack. The party splits below use a different yardstick again: each one is measured against an even fifty-fifty.
DIME contributor ideal points, 1979-2014. Negative is liberal, positive conservative.
How does Elmer compare with someone else's name?
Party, by population
Different groups of people, measured in different ways. They do not always agree, and the disagreement is usually the interesting part.
Federal contributions, 2016 to 2026. Donors skew older and wealthier than the country.
Actual party registration, which is a choice people make at the DMV rather than with a chequebook.
Party registration again, in a state with a very different mix of people. Florida and North Carolina agree on which way a name leans 88% of the time.
Ohio has no party registration, so this is the last primary ballot each voter chose to pull.
Another set of donor records points the same way. Among donors to 527 organisations, Elmer is 22% Democratic where that pool averages 71%, across 110 people.
Is it the name, or the people who have it?
Names carry age, sex and ethnicity, and those predict politics on their own. Comparing every Elmer in North Carolina against other registrants of the same age, sex and race leaves +0.11 that the demographics do not explain. For this name, almost nothing survives: the name is standing in for who happens to carry it.
Where Elmer leans differently
| State | Democratic share of donors | Against that state’s own donors |
|---|---|---|
| CA | 43% | −0.89 |
| FL | 9% | −1.85 |
| TX | 14% | −1.27 |
| PA | 16% | −1.83 |
| VA | 35% | −0.80 |
| AZ | 18% | −1.28 |
| OH | 27% | −0.86 |
| IL | 38% | −0.92 |
The right column compares Elmer with other donors in the same state, so it is not just telling you which states are Democratic.