NamePolitics

Fred

sits right of most names

liberaltypical nameconservative
Score
+0.17
More liberal than
12% of names
Measured from
31,901 contributors
more liberalevery scored namemore conservative

That ranking compares Fred with other names. The typical name scores −0.22, because people who donate to campaigns lean left as a group, so a name can sit left of zero and still be middle of the pack. The party splits below use a different yardstick again: each one is measured against an even fifty-fifty.

DIME contributor ideal points, 1979-2014. Negative is liberal, positive conservative.

Fred versus Frederick

People who go by Fred rather than Frederick sit 0.14 to the right of the full name. It is the same name. The difference is what people choose to be called.

Fred
liberalconservative
Frederick
liberalconservative

How does Fred compare with someone else's name?

Party, by population

Different groups of people, measured in different ways. They do not always agree, and the disagreement is usually the interesting part.

Campaign donors, nationwide15,894 people
40% Democratic60% Republican

Federal contributions, 2016 to 2026. Donors skew older and wealthier than the country.

Registered voters, North Carolina2,192 people
43% Democratic57% Republican

Actual party registration, which is a choice people make at the DMV rather than with a chequebook.

Registered voters, Florida5,067 people
41% Democratic59% Republican

Party registration again, in a state with a very different mix of people. Florida and North Carolina agree on which way a name leans 88% of the time.

Primary voters, Ohio1,461 people
34% Democratic66% Republican

Ohio has no party registration, so this is the last primary ballot each voter chose to pull.

Other donor records point the same way. Among donors to 527 organisations, Fred is 52% Democratic where that pool averages 71%, across 1,737 people. Among Washington state and local donors, Fred is 42% Democratic where that pool averages 55%, across 720 people.

Is it the name, or the people who have it?

Names carry age, sex and ethnicity, and those predict politics on their own. Comparing every Fred in North Carolina against other registrants of the same age, sex and race leaves −0.06 that the demographics do not explain. For this name, almost nothing survives: the name is standing in for who happens to carry it.

Related spellings

Where Fred leans differently

StateDemocratic share of donorsAgainst that state’s own donors
CA51%−0.58
FL30%−0.34
TX24%−0.64
NY60%−0.48
PA36%−0.73
NC36%−0.58
OH35%−0.46
IL43%−0.75

The right column compares Fred with other donors in the same state, so it is not just telling you which states are Democratic.

Look up another name