NamePolitics

Hal

sits right of most names

liberaltypical nameconservative
Score
+0.13
More liberal than
16% of names
Measured from
3,663 contributors
more liberalevery scored namemore conservative

That ranking compares Hal with other names. The typical name scores −0.22, because people who donate to campaigns lean left as a group, so a name can sit left of zero and still be middle of the pack. The party splits below use a different yardstick again: each one is measured against an even fifty-fifty.

DIME contributor ideal points, 1979-2014. Negative is liberal, positive conservative.

Hal versus Harold

People who go by Hal rather than Harold sit 0.07 to the left of the full name. It is the same name. The difference is what people choose to be called.

Hal
liberalconservative
Harold
liberalconservative

How does Hal compare with someone else's name?

Party, by population

Different groups of people, measured in different ways. They do not always agree, and the disagreement is usually the interesting part.

Campaign donors, nationwide2,013 people
44% Democratic56% Republican

Federal contributions, 2016 to 2026. Donors skew older and wealthier than the country.

Registered voters, North Carolina344 people
36% Democratic64% Republican

Actual party registration, which is a choice people make at the DMV rather than with a chequebook.

Registered voters, Florida464 people
38% Democratic62% Republican

Party registration again, in a state with a very different mix of people. Florida and North Carolina agree on which way a name leans 88% of the time.

Another set of donor records points the same way. Among donors to 527 organisations, Hal is 61% Democratic where that pool averages 71%, across 222 people.

Is it the name, or the people who have it?

Names carry age, sex and ethnicity, and those predict politics on their own. Comparing every Hal in North Carolina against other registrants of the same age, sex and race leaves +0.04 that the demographics do not explain. For this name, almost nothing survives: the name is standing in for who happens to carry it.

Related spellings

Where Hal leans differently

StateDemocratic share of donorsAgainst that state’s own donors
CA58%−0.31
TX26%−0.56
FL31%−0.31
NC29%−0.88
NY78%+0.36
WA54%−0.46
GA30%−0.46
CO67%+0.36

The right column compares Hal with other donors in the same state, so it is not just telling you which states are Democratic.

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